China Strategy
A recurring theme across SDDS 2026: China as simultaneously competitor, source of in-licensable assets, and clinical-trial accelerator. Discussed most extensively at Session III.
Three Dimensions
- Competitor — mostly best-in-class today but moving upstream toward first-in-class. 50 Chinese teams start working on your target the day your patent publishes
- Source of assets — in-licensing deals already happening (Dadoo, Sinha each completed one in the last 12 months)
- Clinical-trial accelerator — speed and cost advantages, especially in I&I where preclinical models under-predict
Defensive Strategies
- Stay private longer — public companies must disclose data that becomes a roadmap for fast followers
- File patents at IND, not at publication
- Keep funding rounds quiet when competitive intel is the risk
- Sometimes the right move is to partner with the Chinese competitor, not race them
Geopolitical Reality
- Some Chinese partners now prefer non-US counterparties — affects where you headquarter
- A 10–20-year wave of US-trained scientists going home rebuilt China’s risk-taking mindset
- Government reforms (pre-revenue listings, reimbursement reform, trials infrastructure) compound over a decade
AI Arbitrage
Pande’s thesis: in-license a Chinese asset, predict the trial outcome better than anyone else using AI for trials, arbitrage the spread. This is where AI + China strategy intersects.
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